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This article was posted on June 1, 1999.
Effective Diversification, D = 1/(SUM (V x R)^2) = 1/(0.71754) = 1.4 Non-market Risk = 1/(SQRT (D)) = 1/(SQRT 1.4) = 84.71% 100% Safe Withdrawal Rate = 0.63% 95% Safe Withdrawal Rate = 0.79% 90% Safe Withdrawal Rate = 0.86% Note (1): Safe withdrawal rates based on 40 year pay out period. Note (2): Bill Gates' actual portfolio reported in Fortune magazine in early 1999 contains about $4 billion in bonds, $1 billion in stock outside of Microsoft, and about one billion MSFT shares currently worth $80 billion. The 23% money market allocation in the example above was used to keep the stock/fixed income ratio the same as the other portfolios examined. |
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Copyright © 1999 John P. Greaney, All rights reserved.